Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.031023 0.033362 0.035806 0.038555 0.041563 0.044760 0.048421
2025-05-25 0.026981 0.030268 0.033883 0.038169 0.043131 0.048716 0.055509
2025-06-01 0.024094 0.027885 0.032215 0.037558 0.044015 0.051616 0.061318
2025-06-08 0.021868 0.025938 0.030731 0.036838 0.044481 0.053819 0.066229
2025-06-15 0.020264 0.024542 0.029710 0.036481 0.045217 0.056244 0.071437
2025-06-22 0.018949 0.023369 0.028830 0.036160 0.045878 0.058510 0.076493
2025-06-29 0.017680 0.022148 0.027777 0.035496 0.045976 0.059961 0.080467
2025-07-06 0.016997 0.021622 0.027561 0.035881 0.047450 0.063300 0.087251
2025-07-13 0.016246 0.020951 0.027098 0.035874 0.048346 0.065849 0.093045
2025-07-20 0.015724 0.020548 0.026957 0.036279 0.049813 0.069265 0.100345
2025-07-27 0.015037 0.019880 0.026407 0.036060 0.050341 0.071312 0.105670
2025-08-03 0.014410 0.019257 0.025882 0.035831 0.050818 0.073280 0.110983
2025-08-10 0.013816 0.018660 0.025368 0.035596 0.051280 0.075267 0.116520
2025-08-17 0.013312 0.018164 0.024971 0.035508 0.051950 0.077609 0.122822
2025-08-24 0.012725 0.017521 0.024329 0.035008 0.051934 0.078837 0.127298
2025-08-31 0.012139 0.016854 0.023619 0.034361 0.051637 0.079565 0.130931
2025-09-07 0.011682 0.016357 0.023136 0.034036 0.051829 0.081100 0.136104
2025-09-14 0.011263 0.015898 0.022689 0.033741 0.052044 0.082671 0.141449
2025-09-21 0.010791 0.015340 0.022066 0.033130 0.051691 0.083225 0.144907
2025-09-28 0.010586 0.015178 0.022044 0.033485 0.052979 0.086722 0.154293
2025-10-05 0.010307 0.014890 0.021811 0.033478 0.053641 0.089133 0.161744
2025-10-12 0.010130 0.014754 0.021809 0.033851 0.054976 0.092847 0.172145
2025-10-19 0.009834 0.014419 0.021477 0.033649 0.055277 0.094653 0.178755